Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000172 0.000186 0.000201 0.000217 0.000236 0.000256 0.000279
2024-10-06 0.000151 0.000171 0.000193 0.000221 0.000253 0.000292 0.000340
2024-10-13 0.000139 0.000163 0.000190 0.000224 0.000268 0.000321 0.000393
2024-10-20 0.000128 0.000152 0.000182 0.000222 0.000273 0.000338 0.000431
2024-10-27 0.000122 0.000149 0.000182 0.000227 0.000288 0.000369 0.000489
2024-11-03 0.000113 0.000140 0.000174 0.000221 0.000287 0.000378 0.000517
2024-11-10 0.000106 0.000133 0.000168 0.000218 0.000289 0.000390 0.000551
2024-11-17 0.000100 0.000127 0.000162 0.000214 0.000289 0.000399 0.000581
2024-11-24 0.000096 0.000123 0.000160 0.000214 0.000295 0.000417 0.000627
2024-12-01 0.000092 0.000119 0.000157 0.000213 0.000300 0.000434 0.000671
2024-12-08 0.000089 0.000117 0.000156 0.000215 0.000309 0.000457 0.000730
2024-12-15 0.000085 0.000113 0.000152 0.000212 0.000309 0.000467 0.000765
2024-12-22 0.000081 0.000109 0.000149 0.000211 0.000313 0.000484 0.000820
2024-12-29 0.000079 0.000107 0.000148 0.000214 0.000324 0.000514 0.000902
2025-01-05 0.000077 0.000106 0.000148 0.000218 0.000336 0.000548 0.001000
2025-01-12 0.000074 0.000103 0.000145 0.000215 0.000337 0.000561 0.001055
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000102 0.000146 0.000220 0.000353 0.000604 0.001183
2025-01-26 0.000070 0.000098 0.000141 0.000215 0.000348 0.000605 0.001217
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000095 0.000137 0.000211 0.000348 0.000616 0.001275
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000091 0.000133 0.000207 0.000346 0.000623 0.001323
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000090 0.000132 0.000208 0.000351 0.000646 0.001419
2025-02-23 0.000061 0.000088 0.000130 0.000207 0.000355 0.000666 0.001512
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000087 0.000130 0.000209 0.000365 0.000700 0.001652